Ok, so enough of the "Biden won't help Obama" talk. While I largely agree with that, and have stated it myself, it is also true that Obama isn't an idiot. This is a guy who RUNS on political calculation, because that's all he has. So why Biden? There have to be logical, cynical, political reasons.
However, these are merely my intuition based on my observance of Obama's campaign. Thus, the word "might" in title of this post.
In no particular order...
1) Obama is African-American. Biden is White, with a Irish/Welsh-Catholic family background. Obama figures that he needs to go with a white male VP to assure voters (whom he percieves as racist voters, of course) that he isn't going to pull any punches by selecting a minority or a female and turn this country into a minority-presidents-only-bonanza (which is probably what Obama thinks these types of voters think.)
2) Biden knows Washington DC workings. He's been there a long time: 36 years. So while it does run counter to his message of being "new" and his intention to do things differently, he still needs a key to the city. This is a practical consideration. Biden is his key. And to be fair to Obama, Hillary hasn't been there as long. Furthermore, even though Bill Clinton was president and would be extremely helpful, Obama and he do not seem to get along. So Obama goes with a different manifestation of the Clinton Years: Biden.
3) Joe Biden has a son in the military. While it is uncomfortable and often controversial to bring up this sort of thing in politics, it is nevertheless a consideration that voters take into account. John McCain has a son (or sons?) in Iraq, and all of his supporters know it, but keep it to a whisper. What Biden's son does for Obama is neutralize any possibility for a voter to reason, "Hmm. John McCain walks the walk, because he has a son over in Iraq and still believes we need to win the war, while Obama and [VP] don't."
4) Biden is Catholic. This wasn't a very good reason to pick Biden considering that Kerry was such a failure with the Catholic vote, but it's a reason nonetheless. I'm sure it passed through the minds of the Obama staff when considering Biden.
5) Biden voted for the war. Aha! you may say, but doesn't this run counter to his message (again?!) ? It does indeed. But think of it like this: Biden voted for the war, he now opposes the war, and he's not only a talker because he has a son in the military who is going to Iraq*." And this connnects to the following reason...
[ * NOTE: and God Bless Joe Biden's son for his service, and God keep him safe and all the men and women serving there.]
6) Biden is percieved as a foreign policy wonk. Yes, it's true that Biden is a fool on FP, nevertheless he knows the issues involved and has served on senate committees dealing with foreign policy. And most importantly: whoever McCain chooses as his own VP, Obama hopes to catch him weak in discussing foreign policy with Joe Biden.
7) Biden is close to Hillary...close enough. I don't know why this would work, but Obama still wants to reach out to Hillary Supporters who are mad about him trying to (purportedly) sever the Clinton Arm off the Democratic Party. It's not working (duh), but you Biden is what came closest while qualifying with the above reasons, as well as with these last three...
8) Biden is percieved as moderate (enough). While Biden is clearly pro-Abortion, he has not always been. He did however vote to ban partial-birth abortion. Whose vote you can find here....
http://www.senate.gov/legislative/LIS/roll_call_lists/roll_call_vote_cfm.cfm?congress=108&session=1&vote=00402
...Also, Biden vote for the Iraq War, and is in many cases hawkish. Enough so that it would comfort moderatet voters who see FP as their prime voting issue.
9) Biden off-sets the "Obama is too young" argument. Now, I don't think there is a problem with Obama's age ( he is 47), I think the problem is with his lack of achievements, lack of good judgement, and the creepy cult of personality he has created. But people who see him on TV (and the same is true of me) are going to see "inexperienced," "too young" written all over his face. With Biden at the one VP depate this Fall, Obama has a chance to show voters that he knows where to look for wisdom: in someone older than he. As Republicans, we understand the comical elements of that reasoning, but nevertheless...
10) Biden is going to be an attack dog against all those Evil Republicans Who Dare Question The Sincerity And Patriotism Of THE ONE. And in Biden, Obama has found someone who is very capable of saying very bluntly foolish things. I'm sure Biden will spare nothing in attacking John McCain and Republicans as racists, homophobes, sexists etc.
And that wraps up my 10 Reasons Biden was picked. However, I do have one runner-up....
11) Biden is a walking commercial for why hair plugs work. And I admit, while the little cow lick at his nape is ridiculous-looking, he looks a heck of a lot better than he was bald.
Also NOTE: Some of the reasons Obama might choose Biden that he percieves as strengths are also weaknesses. For instance: Biden may be a Clinton-Era Democrat, but who is going to notice? What they'll notice is that Biden has said "things" about Obama, and has priased McCain often.
Showing posts with label politics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label politics. Show all posts
Monday, August 25, 2008
Friday, August 22, 2008
"It IS Biden"
I think I can breathe easier now. John McCormack at The Weekly Standard Blog (http://www.weeklystandard.com/Weblogs/TWSFP/TWSFPView.asp#8198) says a source in the Obama campaign has told him: "IT IS BIDEN."
Phew! As long as it's not Hillary, or Sebelius. Now the trick is: who would go up against Biden well? Why, Romney of course!
Phew! As long as it's not Hillary, or Sebelius. Now the trick is: who would go up against Biden well? Why, Romney of course!
Labels:
barack obama veepstakes,
Joe biden,
politics,
vice president
Friday, August 15, 2008
ROMNEY NEWS & I'M BACK!
1. Evangelicals and Romney talk, from The Boston Globe. Here...
http://www.boston.com/news/politics/politicalintelligence/2008/08/evangelicals_an.html
I don't get it. They say the anti-Romney movement isn't about his mormonism; that it's really about his change of position on abortion. If that's so, then why haven't Evangelical Leaders said anything about Tom Ridge? In any case, Romney is no longer pro-choice. Tom Ridge is. See the difference, folks?
You may have heard Mike Huckabee's recent dagger move at Romney as well, saying in an interview that Romney is unacceptable as VP, BUT NOT BECAUSE HE'S MORMON!
Yeah. Riiiiiight.
Not that anyone really cares, but this is my first blog post here in quite some time. My excuse is that I've been working, trying to get my car in tip-top shape for this coming semester, and quite forgot that my blog even existed. In any case, the VP race is heating back up as each presidential candidate is sizing up his fellow pols for the Veepship. I've noticed that Romney and Pawlenty are back as the most mentioned names for McCain, and Jindal is not. Neither is Palin or Steele, which is a shame. I liked both.
Time Kaine for Obama? That would be GREAT. Time Kaine is well-intentioned Democrat, somewhat moderate whose greatest strength (in Republican terms) is that he would make absolutely no impact on whether Obama got less or more votes. Will he be the Veep? WE WISH!
There's also talk of John Kerry. Frankly, that would be an extremely unsavvy pick for Obama. If he's trying to out-Vietnam Vet McCain, he can do better (though not as well). In any case Kerry is not seen as a Vietnam WAr hero. He's seen as a jerk who slimed American troops, who threw away his medal, and who joined the "we hate America at any cost"/Jane Fonda brigade. And then there's the fact that George Bush (who isn't supposed to be popular) beat John Kerry in 2004 by a nifty margin. So will he be the Veep? WE WISH!
http://www.boston.com/news/politics/politicalintelligence/2008/08/evangelicals_an.html
I don't get it. They say the anti-Romney movement isn't about his mormonism; that it's really about his change of position on abortion. If that's so, then why haven't Evangelical Leaders said anything about Tom Ridge? In any case, Romney is no longer pro-choice. Tom Ridge is. See the difference, folks?
You may have heard Mike Huckabee's recent dagger move at Romney as well, saying in an interview that Romney is unacceptable as VP, BUT NOT BECAUSE HE'S MORMON!
Yeah. Riiiiiight.
Not that anyone really cares, but this is my first blog post here in quite some time. My excuse is that I've been working, trying to get my car in tip-top shape for this coming semester, and quite forgot that my blog even existed. In any case, the VP race is heating back up as each presidential candidate is sizing up his fellow pols for the Veepship. I've noticed that Romney and Pawlenty are back as the most mentioned names for McCain, and Jindal is not. Neither is Palin or Steele, which is a shame. I liked both.
Time Kaine for Obama? That would be GREAT. Time Kaine is well-intentioned Democrat, somewhat moderate whose greatest strength (in Republican terms) is that he would make absolutely no impact on whether Obama got less or more votes. Will he be the Veep? WE WISH!
There's also talk of John Kerry. Frankly, that would be an extremely unsavvy pick for Obama. If he's trying to out-Vietnam Vet McCain, he can do better (though not as well). In any case Kerry is not seen as a Vietnam WAr hero. He's seen as a jerk who slimed American troops, who threw away his medal, and who joined the "we hate America at any cost"/Jane Fonda brigade. And then there's the fact that George Bush (who isn't supposed to be popular) beat John Kerry in 2004 by a nifty margin. So will he be the Veep? WE WISH!
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